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Our goal is to offer analysis of our societal environment to foster a discussion about our current conditions and our possible futures.

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Method

Analysis
Our primary tool for analysis is the Causal Loop Diagram, which is presented along with a short story, an interactive model and a descriptive narrative.

The Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) indicates the cause and effect relationships between Variables that can change over time. Causal Links between the Variables indicate the direction of the interaction and the impact that variable 1 (tail side) has on variable 2 (arrow side). If the impact is shown as positive (+), variable 1 has a direct impact on variable 2 (increase in 1 causes an increase in 2, decrease in 1 causes a decrease in 2). If the impact is shown as negative (-), variable 1 has a reverse impact on variable 2 (increase in 1 causes a decrease in 2, decrease in 1 causes an increase in 2). It is also possible to assess Feedback Loops which can be Reinforcing (positive feedback/amplifying) or Balancing (negative feedback/counteracting change).

Interactive Model
The Interactive Model is a version of the picture in the Scenario that can be enlarged and contains hover-over information on the Variables and Links.
Click on it, it should open in your browser.

Generation
These Scenarios are generated with the aid of Google Gemini and a model template using the prompt shown.

Attribution

This site applies ideas and tools developed by Gene Bellinger. He signals publication of new analysis on LinkedIn: Gene Bellinger. You can subscribe on His work can be found at SystemsWiki on Substack to get additional details to the analysis similar to those found here.

Getting Started

To get started with these Scenarios, we suggest taking a look at Post Labor Economics. It is indicative of the style we are using to present the information

The story text is generated collaboratively with Google Gemini and includes some discussion of the causal links that make up the causal loops (separated as paragraphs).

The model will show the causal loops by clicking on any of the 8 Feedback Loops (in this case) to highlight them.

The audio discussion has been generated using NotebookLM.

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